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Gambling Mathematics: Reaction and Legislation Regarding Online Gambling, Internet Casinos
� In the summer of the year of grace 2006, the Congress of these great United States of America took up the Internet (online) gambling issue ... yet again. The first time around, they joked as a means of finding ways to pull a multi-billion dollar business under control (collecting due taxes, that is). This time around, the attempted legislation is more focused, with a slimly higher chance (as in gambling!) to be feasible.
A bill passed the lower chamber (The House of Representatives) with severe restrictions on Internet gambling to the residing citizens of the U.S. of A. Theoretically, a law as such could be enforceable; the probability of success is nearly impossible, however. The House bill would require all Internet Service Providers (ISP) in the U.S. to block out each and every online gambling site in the world. If I, a customer of pa.net, want to gamble online, my request would be denied by the web server.
Kind of the cowardice deal struck between Google and the Capitalist Party of People's Republic of China (CPPRC). If a Chinese Internet user searches for hot (uncomfortable) issues regarding the flaws of the Communist ideology, the super (?) search engine will block out every site that's� hotly uncomfortable to CPPRC. For example, SALIU.COM is no longer readable in The People's Republic of China. Fortunately, it still is readable (despite the highly incompatible alphabets) in Taiwan (.tw) and Hong Kong (.hk).
Online gambling ban is feasible even less than The (Alcoholic) Prohibition of the 1920s. You ban this gamble-online.com. They buy (very cheaply) another domain, like peeonyougambleonline.com. They can make thousands of related permutations - and buy the corresponding domains. What's a few dozen thousands of dollars when you talk dozens of billions a year in revenues (perhaps profits)? How would you control such business transactions, Mr. Bill Kyll?
� � I write this because I noticed a significant increase of readership to certain Web pages of mine. They are older writings, but by no means illegitimate brainchildren of mine. There are points in every human's life when one becomes the defining one. For yours truly, that moment in time is the year of grace 2005, when I reached the age of the philosopher, as far as a male philosopher is concerned. I don't know how my history-remotely friend Plato figured that out so compellingly correct. Truth is, after that philosophical age I was lifted to a significant height into the Ionosphere. I had had incredibly uniquely valid ideas for all my life. But now I have become able to express all my ideas � easily for me, and easily for my audience to comprehend. I am also more convincing, by a lot.
So� there are more visitors to old web pages of mine. But how about strange referrals to my site from mapping Web sites? How about strange phone calls, like �Stay away from gambling� they gonna kill you!� I check the phone calls, and I only hear: �The last number that called your line is not known. Please hang up now!� They unlist their numbers, the cowards!
Oooo! Scary! NOT! I'm used to it now. It's been a few years since it started. Just childish attempts to intimidate me!
Does �Cash� sound very interesting in the name of my hometown? They want to see on the map where I live? OK. But, why? What's so interesting about my place? If you want to read, I'll give you some interesting facts. My place, Cashtown, Adams County, Pennsylvania, is a small village, at the foothills of the Appalachians. Very quiet - helped me a lot with my creative endeavors.
The origin of the name Cashtown is very interesting, too. There is an historic inn named The Cashtown Inn. The Cashtown Inn is said to host also ghosts of the American Civil War (1860s). It's bull, for sure. Yet, it was broadcast a few years back on local radio stations. Not much success for the historic eatery, though!
The passionate and hotheaded Confederate army crossed Cashtown during the Civil War on their way to the killing fields of Gettysburg. It happened during the incredibly hot summer month of July 1863. Gettysburg is located some eight miles from here. I am the number man. If you knock down eight, 8, you get the symbol of infinity. I wrote this historic hymn for my adopting Cashtown:
O Cashtown, you are great:
Path to Infinity from eight!�
The name Cashtown came to life before the Civil War, and before there was a Cashtown (founded 1800). The clerk at the inn became famous for his polite request to all customers. He would inform: �We would demand that you would make your payment in cash.� Wonderful! Here is my only nominee for the Nobel Prize in Economics. The Cashtown Inn clerk predicted the credit card more than one and a half hundred years before the plastic came to life! An award for chemistry is in tall order, too!
� � � There's the rub. Put these two words in the same sentence: Gambling and Mathematics. It opens the floodgates. The necessity of legislation is caused by it as well. From a casino viewpoint, gambling mathematics is a fundamental blasphemy. The casinos fight hard to instill the idea that mathematics has absolutely no place in gambling. Especially the online casinos have a strong interest in obliterating the concept of gambling mathematics.
Gambling mathematics is also the reason why I was so virulently attacked soon after I published the Fundamental Formula of Gambling (FFG). I used the past tense because I won the war of words. I obliterated the intimidators for the most part.
It wasn't nice and easy, however. It started with a flurry of vitriolic emails from one Norman Wattenberger. I responded to him like the gentleman that I've always been. I treated him like a gentleman - he took it as weakness on my part. He intensified his attacks. What made him so mad?
I realized that the flare got started by the concept of formula. That's what bothered him:
�This is a flat out lie. Every, and I mean, every mathematic study of gambling states that this is nonsense. Read anything by Thorp, Wong, Schlesinger, Humble, Snyder, Carlson, Chambliss, Vancura, Fuchs, Anderson, Griffin, Uston. Every one of them will tell you random events cannot, by definition, be captured in formulae. This is, in fact, the definition of random. You are either a con man or an idiot.�
Mathematics applied to gambling caused his rage! I looked for motives. I traced the bastard to an online gambling business. So, he had an interest, a strong business interest. The gamblers must be mindless. As such, they lose more increasingly. Also, the mindless gamblers are much easier to cheat! �You can lose 100 hands in a row!� the casinos (especially online) try to convince a mindless player. �Forget about mathematics. There ain't no math in gambling!�
I dramatically changed my tactics. You treat bastards like bastards, not gentlemen. When you are in shark-infested waters, you dynamite-fishing! I responded to all the sharks like they had never experienced before! You can read how my (ab)Norm(al) war evolved. I saved the messages and newsgroup postings related to NW and other casino moles and bastards.
My life became easier in 2001, soon after I son-of-a-bitched badly a casino chairman. He posted in my forum - basically threatening interested roulette players not to attempt writing down the roulette spins at the table, while playing the game. I eliminated the only weapon the kasino bastards were using against me: INTIMIDATION. My message was: �I don't get intimidated! I know that searching the truth is not for the faint-hearted. I ain't faint at heart!�
I realized that the worst reaction came from online gambling businesses. They are illegal in the United States. The American gamblers, however, are the most sought-after customers. One thing is money, of course. The Yankees have lots of money and a well-documented desire to gamble.
My writings collided with the interests of online casinos. I documented cheating. My words have also credibility. My ideas have a solid mathematical foundation. I never disregard formulae! And I had first-hand experiences. I played online blackjack and slots blackjack (in brick-and-mortar casinos). I can swear in a court of law that I was cheated. What happened to me and other players defies mathematics. But the reality is that not even god can defy mathematics. Mathematics is the only thing than nobody or nothing can defy.
The casinos want players believe that losing 10 hands in a row, or 20, or even 100 hands in a row is a natural fact of life! But guess who's losing? Yup! Only the player! Don't ask why the house doesn't lose 20 or 100 hands in row! You might get phone calls from unknown numbers, like I do now and then! You might hear: �They gonna kill you, bad gambler!�
Losing is real, because it is... mathematics! Both the players and the casinos lose - but only according to mathematics. Just run that great piece of probability software: Streaks. The program calculates how many streaks of various lengths there are in a number of trials. For example, coin tossing. The individual probability is 0.5 (or 1 in 2) for heads H (the same for tails T). How many times can we get 5 heads in a row? How many such streaks of exactly 5 consecutive heads? That is, strings like: THHHHHT. The answer is 8 times in 1000 trials (coin tosses).
Streaks creates tables like the one that follows. It applies to the game of blackjack closest to the reality in real-life casinos. It's strange to me that a program and a probability table would trigger such intensely hostile reactions!
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